Africa’s failed founders re-enter the startup arena, testing investor patience – Businessday NG

Africa’s failed founders re-enter the startup arena, testing investor patience



Across Africa’s startup ecosystem, a quiet but consequential shift is unfolding. Founders who once raised millions, scaled teams, and still watched their companies collapse are returning, this time asking investors for a second chance.

According to a TechInAfrica report, 2025 has seen an unusual wave of high-profile founder comebacks across Africa’s startup ecosystem, with entrepreneurs who previously raised millions, shut down their companies, and burned investor capital now returning to build again.

The report notes that while startup failure has traditionally been a dead end for most African founders, data from Launch Base Africa shows that 68.3 percent never attempt another venture, the small group that does return is large enough this year to be statistically significant, forcing investors to reassess long-held assumptions about failure, second chances, and whether hard-earned experience can outweigh the risks of backing founders who have already fallen once.

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Meshack Alloys, the founder of Kenyan logistics startup Sendy, shut the company down in 2024 after years of heavy fundraising and an inability to crack sustainable unit economics. Less than two years later, he is back, this time in Silicon Valley, building TABB, a fintech startup positioning itself as an instant-acceptance trade credit network for African SMEs.

William McCarren, co-founder of Kenyan B2B e-commerce platform Zumi, is also plotting a return. Zumi processed more than $20 million in sales, served over 5,000 customers, and employed about 150 people before shutting down in March 2024 after failing to secure follow-on funding.

McCarren is now exploring new ventures, joining a small but growing group of African founders attempting second acts after high-profile shutdowns.

They are not alone. According to data from Launch Base Africa, just 31.7 percent of African founders who experience a shutdown ever attempt to start another company. The remaining 68.3 percent never return to entrepreneurship. That makes the current wave of founder comebacks statistically rare and significant.

What makes this moment particularly sensitive is that these are not marginal failures. These founders had traction, customers, teams, and institutional capital behind them. Their companies didn’t die in obscurity; they shut down in full view of investors, employees, and the broader ecosystem.

Now they are back, often in new sectors, armed with lessons from failure and a renewed pitch. Investors, however, are weighing experience against risk.

A shift in a conservative ecosystem

Africa’s venture capital market has historically been less forgiving of failure than Silicon Valley. While US tech culture often celebrates failure as a rite of passage, African investors, operating in capital-scarce environments, have tended to view shutdowns as disqualifying events.

That caution is partly structural. Many African VC funds are small, with more than 60 percent managing under $50 million. Every investment carries outsized weight, and the margin for error is thin. Backing a founder who has already lost investor capital introduces reputational and financial risk, particularly if the second venture also fails.

But the re-emergence of founders like Alloys and McCarren suggests something may be changing. As the ecosystem matures, investors are encountering a new category of entrepreneur: founders with real operating experience, real scars, and real shutdowns behind them.

The dilemma is clear. On one hand, these founders have navigated fundraising, scaling, hiring, and failure. They know how startups break. On the other hand, they have already had their shot and lost investor money in the process.

Experience versus execution

Supporters of second chances argue that failed founders bring a kind of education that can’t be learned in accelerators or pitch rooms. They understand the cost of scaling too fast, the danger of broken unit economics, and the operational strain that comes with growth. For investors, that experience can translate into sharper execution and fewer avoidable mistakes.

There is also a self-selection effect. With fewer than one in three failed founders choosing to try again, those who return tend to be unusually resilient. Rebuilding after a public shutdown requires confronting skepticism, damaged reputations, and personal loss. The decision to come back is itself a signal of conviction.

Yet skepticism remains strong, especially when founders pivot into unfamiliar sectors. Alloys’ move from logistics to fintech infrastructure, for example, raises questions about domain expertise and learning curves. For investors, backing a comeback founder in a new sector can feel like funding two experiments at once: the founder’s redemption and their market education.

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Critics argue that failure does not always produce wisdom. In some cases, it reflects poor judgment rather than bad timing. Founders who scaled businesses with fundamentally broken economics or weak governance structures may be prone to repeating similar mistakes, regardless of experience.

There is also the issue of opportunity cost. Capital invested in comeback founders is capital not deployed to first-time entrepreneurs who have not yet burned investor money. In a zero-sum funding environment, that trade-off matters.

Due diligence gets sharper

As more comeback founders approach investors, due diligence standards are evolving. VCs are digging deeper into what actually caused previous failures, pushing beyond vague explanations like market timing or macro conditions.

Governance issues, unit economics, and decision-making processes are under heavier scrutiny. How founders handled shutdowns, whether they returned capital, paid creditors, or managed layoffs responsibly, has become a proxy for character and judgment under pressure.

Investors are also looking for evidence that second ventures are more de-risked than the first. Smaller initial capital raises, early customer validation, pilot contracts, and stronger co-founder balance are emerging as signals that founders have internalised hard lessons.

In contrast, large funding asks with limited proof are increasingly viewed as red flags, especially when they mirror the ambition and burn patterns of previous failures.

Testing investor patience

For limited partners backing African VC funds, the tolerance for repeat failure remains low. Returns, not redemption stories, ultimately determine performance. General partners who back previously failed founders and see them collapse again face difficult questions from LPs about judgment and risk management.

That pressure is shaping a more nuanced approach rather than blanket acceptance or rejection. Failure, investors say, is not disqualifying, but the reasons behind it matter deeply.

As Africa’s startup ecosystem ages, it is generating its first meaningful dataset on founder failure and recovery. The outcomes of the 2025 comeback class will help define whether second chances become a feature of African venture capital or remain rare exceptions.

For now, failed founders returning to the arena are walking a tightrope. Their experience gives them credibility, but their history raises the bar. Investors are watching closely, weighing resilience against risk, and deciding, case by case, who deserves another shot.

The verdict will not be ideological. It will be empirical. And in three to five years, the data will decide whether Africa’s second-chance founders were worth the patience they demanded.

 

Royal Ibeh

Royal Ibeh is a senior journalist with years of experience reporting on Nigeria’s technology and health sectors. She currently covers the Technology and Health beats for BusinessDay newspaper, where she writes in-depth stories on digital innovation, telecom infrastructure, healthcare systems, and public health policies.



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